Forecasting Analysis: The Riau Islands Local Government Role In Covid-19 Disaster Management
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.18196/jgp.113121Keywords:
Disaster Management, Coronavirus, Local Government, The Riau IslandsAbstract
The World Health Organization (WHO) designated COVID-19 as an international pandemic of disaster. The COVID-19 prevention strategy requires the role of international governments, national governments, and also local governments. The Riau Islands is strategic closer to the neighboring countries, which will make the government more aware of the current and future disaster management, which will enable it to face the new normal phase after COVID19. This writing focused on forecasting analysis opinion (Dunn, 2018) identifying future developments. The study used for literature studies reviewed postcode-19 happening in the Riau Islands (content analysis). The researcher suggests two possible scenarios, for the first scene involving a second COVID-19 wave due to a weakness in disaster management. Then the second, new normal scenario will continue with applying policy forecasting. Researchers have also provided an alternative policy forecasting model with approach forecasting analysis: the Potential Future, Plausible Future, and Normative Future concept. This forecasting policy model is expected to be a disaster management guide by local governments in Indonesia.
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Websites
People without Symptoms of Covid-19 in Riau Islands Increase Sharply (e.d) Acquired on 14th of July, 2020, from https://republika.co.id/berita/q8me8f349/orang-tanpa-gejala-covid19-di-kepri-meningkat-tajam
The Governor of the Riau Islands is confident that in July COVID-19 will be free (e.d) Acquired on 14th of July, 2020, from https://www.hariankepri.com/isdianto-yakin-juli-2020-kepri-bebas-virus-corona/
The Riau Island Province Coronavirus Disease 2019 Task Force (e.d) Acquired on 15th of June, 2020, from https://corona.kepriprov.go.id/
The Riau Island -Singapore Discuss Management Protocol COVID-19 (e.d) Acquired on 14th of July, 2020, from https://humas.kepriprov.go.id/kepri-singapura-bahas-protokol-penanganan-corona.php
The Riau Islands Provincial Government Allocates IDR 705.5 Billion Handling COVID-19 (e.d) Acquired on 14th of July, 2020, from https://www.liputan6.com/bisnis/read/4225736/pemprov-kepulauan-riau-anggarkan-rp-7055-miliar-tangani-corona
Tourism in the Riau province is ready to face a new normal (e.d) Acquired on 14th of July, 2020, from https://kepri.antaranews.com/berita/81144/asita--pariwisata-kepri-siap-hadapi-new-normal
There is already a Task Force, the Riau Islands Provincial Government Forms COVID-19 Opposition Team Acquired on 17th of July, 2020, from https://www.liputan6.com/regional/read/4264872/sudah-ada-gugus-tugas-pemprov-kepri-bentuk-tim-posko-lawan-virus-corona
Document
Circular Of The Minister Of Home Affairs Number 440/2622/ SJ On Formation Of Task Force Acceleration Of Handling Corona Virus Disease 2019 (Covid-19) by Regional Government.
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